New Jersey LCV for a Cleaner Environment, New Jersey’s only environmental Super PAC, commissioned the poll from FiftyOne Percent which occurred between October 11-13 and included 400 likely voters in the 2015 Assembly race. Voters were contacted via IRV, landlines only. The survey is weighted to likely voters as determined by historical voting patterns in NJ’s 2nd Legislative District.
“It appeared that the environment was important to voters in LD-2, so we polled it and found out that in fact it is, giving us a universe of voters to target with information about the pro-conservation records of Assemblymen Chris A. Brown and Vince Mazzeo,” explained Ed Potosnak, Executive Director of New Jersey LCV.
When asked whether the endorsement from New Jersey LCV would make a voter more or less likely to support Brown, 49% to 19% said it would. Among Unaffiliated voters it was even larger at 53% to 14% a positive difference of 39%. Additionally, 48% of Unaffiliated Voters, the block of voters that usually determine the outcome of an election and are clearly making the difference in this election, said that a pro-environmental record was important to them while only 27% said it was not important.
“The environment is important to a key electorate in this race” said Potosnak. “Since this is an off year race, with an expected low turnout—strong support for the environment among unaffiliated voters will help elect our endorsees,” he continued.
When voters were told that Republican Chris Brown stood up to Chris Christie to oppose the Exxon Mobile deal, 62% of all voters and 63% of Unaffiliated voters said that would make them more likely to support him in this election. Only 15% of Unaffiliateds said less likely. A huge 48% positive effect. Likewise, for Democrat Vince Mazzeo, standing up to Chris Christie was heartily embraced by voters. 54% of all voters said that they would be more likely to support Mazzeo because he stood up to Chris Christie on climate change. And 60% of Unaffiliated voters said that they would be more likely to support Mazzeo because he stood up to Christie on this issue. Only 17% said that it would make them less likely – a 43% positive difference.
“Clearly, people like a candidate who will stand up to Governor Christie and put public health ahead of politics,” Potosnak exclaimed. “Both our endorsees have a demonstrated record standing up the Governor when clean water and clean air are at stake,” he added.
“The importance of the environment to voters in this election, as the poll indicates, encourages us to further engage in this important election,” Potosnak explained.
Republican incumbent Chris Brown leads the race with 47% of respondents supporting him; while Democratic incumbent Vince Mazzeo has the support of 44%. The margin of error for the poll is +/-5% at the 95% confidence level in the topline results.
“This is a good sign the right candidates will win this election,” concluded Potosnak.